Malaysia’s furniture industry is at a pivotal moment as American buyers rush to secure shipments before a potential overhaul of US tariff policies. With a temporary suspension of new tariffs creating a narrow window of opportunity, manufacturers are racing to capitalize on Malaysia’s favorable trade position compared to regional competitors like Vietnam, Cambodia, and Indonesia. Yet, amid this potential boon, rising domestic costs and an uncertain global market cast a shadow over the sector’s long-term prospects.
A Race Against Time
American importers have urged Malaysian furniture exporters to ship as much as possible within the current 90-day suspension of new US tariffs, ideally before July 2025. Matthew Law, deputy president of the Malaysian Furniture Council, highlighted the urgency felt by the industry. “Our customers in the United States have asked us to ship as much as possible during this suspension window” said Law. The uncertainty stems from the possibility of new tariff policies being announced by the US president, which could reshape trade dynamics overnight. Until clarity emerges, Malaysian exporters are left in limbo, unable to fully strategize for the future.
Malaysia’s furniture exports, predominantly wooden items such as bedroom sets and kitchen furniture, have historically held a modest 2.4% share of the US market as of 2024. However, with a current US tariff rate of 24%—significantly lower than Vietnam’s 46%, Cambodia’s 49%, and Indonesia’s 32%—Malaysia is well-positioned to gain ground. A report from the Investment, Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti) for the first quarter of 2025 underscores this advantage, noting that shifting US trade patterns could drive demand for Malaysian products among American importers.
Competitive Edge and Strategic Potential
The disparity in tariff rates has created a “real and timely opportunity” for Malaysian small and medium enterprises (SMEs) to expand their footprint in one of the world’s largest furniture markets, according to Samenta president Datuk William Ng. “Even a small shift in sourcing preference can translate into significant export gains for Malaysian SMEs” said Ng. He emphasized the need for enhanced marketing support, faster access to trade finance, and streamlined logistics to meet the anticipated surge in demand.
Beyond immediate gains, Malaysia’s favorable tariff position offers strategic potential for long-term growth. Deputy Plantation and Commodities Minister Chan Foong Hin expressed cautious optimism about ongoing US negotiations, with the ministry providing data and insights to Miti to bolster Malaysia’s stance. “At the same time, we are intensifying efforts to strengthen trade relationships with emerging markets and diversify our export destinations” said Chan in an interview with The Star. This dual approach aims to mitigate risks tied to over-reliance on the US market, especially given signs of declining demand signaling a broader slowdown.
Domestic Challenges Threaten Progress
Despite the competitive edge, Malaysian furniture manufacturers face significant hurdles at home. Rising operational costs are a persistent concern, with Law citing a 14.2% hike in electricity tariffs set for July 2025, increased contributions to the Employees Provident Fund (EPF), and higher foreign worker levies. The weakening Malaysian ringgit against the US dollar further exacerbates these challenges, squeezing profit margins for exporters reliant on imported raw materials.
Ng pointed out that labor, raw materials, and energy costs continue to climb, urging SMEs to adopt automation and smart manufacturing to offset these pressures. “By nurturing a stronger local supply chain, including engineered wood and sustainable forestry, we can reduce dependency on volatile global raw material prices” said Ng. Such upstream integration could shield the industry from external shocks, but implementing these changes requires time and investment—resources many smaller manufacturers lack.
Government Steps to Safeguard Integrity
As Malaysia seeks to capitalize on shifting trade patterns, the government is taking measures to ensure the country does not become a transshipment hub for timber and timber products from nations facing higher US tariffs. Chan stressed that stricter enforcement and documentation processes are being implemented, particularly for Certificates of Origin (COO). “Both preferential COO issued by Miti and non-preferential COO issued by authorized chambers and associations play a critical role in verifying the origin of Malaysian exports and upholding the integrity of our trade practices” said Chan. These steps aim to maintain trust with international partners and prevent potential trade violations that could jeopardize Malaysia’s standing.
Navigating Uncertainty in US Trade Policy
The unpredictability of US trade policy remains a central concern for industry stakeholders. While the current suspension of new tariffs offers a temporary reprieve, Ng cautioned against over-optimism. “Despite the current opportunity, industry players should proceed with caution due to the unpredictable nature of US trade policy” said Ng. The outcome of impending US decisions could either solidify Malaysia’s position as a preferred supplier or introduce new barriers that undo recent gains.
For now, manufacturers are focusing on meeting the immediate demands of American buyers while bracing for potential shifts. The broader implications of US policy extend beyond tariffs, influencing everything from market access to pricing strategies. If new tariffs are imposed, Malaysia’s relatively lower rate may still provide a buffer, but only if domestic challenges are addressed concurrently.
Regional Context and Global Implications
Malaysia’s situation must be viewed within the broader context of Southeast Asian trade dynamics. Vietnam, Cambodia, and Indonesia—key competitors in the furniture sector—face significantly higher tariffs, which could prompt US importers to pivot toward Malaysian products. However, these countries are not standing still; each is likely exploring strategies to mitigate tariff impacts, whether through diversification or lobbying for exemptions. Malaysia must act swiftly to lock in its advantage before competitors adapt.
Moreover, the global furniture market is undergoing a transformation, with sustainability and supply chain resilience becoming critical factors for buyers. Malaysia’s efforts to strengthen its local supply chain and adopt sustainable forestry practices could align with these trends, positioning the country as a leader in ethical production. Yet, achieving this requires coordinated efforts between government and industry—a partnership that is still evolving.
Looking Ahead
As Malaysia’s furniture industry navigates this complex landscape, the coming months will be crucial in determining whether it can translate temporary trade advantages into lasting market share. The interplay of US policy decisions, domestic cost pressures, and regional competition will shape the sector’s trajectory. For now, manufacturers are seizing the moment, shipping goods at a frantic pace to meet American demand. Whether this momentum can be sustained amid looming uncertainties remains an open question, one that Malaysian exporters and policymakers alike are keenly focused on answering.