Myanmar Border Closure Disrupts Thai Exports Worth Billions

The sudden closure of a key border crossing between Thailand and Myanmar has thrown bilateral trade into chaos, halting the flow of goods worth an estimated 130 billion Thai Baht (~US$3.65 billion) and exposing the fragility of economic ties in a region already strained by political instability. The move, initiated by Myanmar authorities on August 18, 2025, without prior notice to their Thai counterparts, has left exporters, shipping companies, and local businesses scrambling for solutions amid fears of a prolonged economic standstill.

Unexpected Shutdown at Second Friendship Bridge

The Second Thai-Myanmar Friendship Bridge, connecting Myawaddy in Myanmar’s Kayin State with Mae Sot in Thailand’s Tak province, was abruptly closed to large vehicles and commercial goods on August 18, 2025. This crossing serves as the primary conduit for large-scale trade between the two nations, and its shutdown has effectively paralyzed the movement of significant export and import shipments. Reports suggest the closure was ordered from Naypyidaw, Myanmar’s capital, as part of a strategic effort to redirect border trade revenues to the central government, bypassing ethnic armed groups like the Border Guard Force (BGF) that have historically profited from the trade in this volatile region.

Unlike the Second Bridge, the First Thai-Myanmar Friendship Bridge remains operational for pedestrians and small-scale local trade. However, this alternative route lacks the capacity to handle the volume of goods previously transported through the main commercial crossing, exacerbating the disruption for hauliers and merchants on both sides of the border.

Economic Fallout and Trade Slump

The economic impact of the closure is staggering. Official data from Mae Sot Customs reveals a sharp decline in the value of Thai exports to Myanmar through this channel, dropping from nearly 50 billion Thai Baht (~US$1.4 billion) per quarter to just over 10 billion Thai Baht (~US$281 million). For the 2025 fiscal year, spanning October 1, 2024, to July 31, 2025, total trade value between the two countries reached 138.6 billion Thai Baht (~US$3.89 billion), reflecting a 78.94 percent increase compared to the previous year. However, this growth was driven predominantly by a 142.34 percent surge in imports, particularly antimony ore from Myanmar, while the value of Thai exports plummeted by 21.34 percent over the same period.

Thailand’s top exports to Myanmar include mobile phones and accessories, motorcycles, and palm oil, while imports are dominated by antimony ore, alongside dry and fresh chilies. The closure threatens to further erode these trade figures, with local businesses warning of potential long-term damage to the border economy. Adding to the complexity, a significant portion of trade—68.71 percent of imports and 61.85 percent of exports—occurs through unofficial or “unapproved channels” according to Mae Sot Customs data. The ongoing closure is expected to disrupt these informal routes as well, impacting livelihoods in communities reliant on cross-border commerce.

Thai Response and New Restrictions

In the wake of the closure, the Tak Chamber of Commerce convened an emergency meeting on August 19, 2025, to assess the crisis and propose urgent measures. The group called on Thailand’s Ministry of Commerce to engage in immediate negotiations with Myanmar authorities to reopen the Second Bridge and restore trade flows. However, the situation is compounded by new regulations imposed by Thai officials. Starting August 20, 2025, the Governor of Tak province mandated that exporters provide two days’ advance notice for all goods, which will undergo rigorous inspections by military, administrative, and customs personnel.

Business owners have expressed concern that these additional requirements will lead to further delays and potential damage to perishable or time-sensitive goods. Many fear that the combination of Myanmar’s closure and Thailand’s stricter measures could bring the entire border trade system to a standstill, with one local merchant describing the situation as a potential paralysis of commerce in the region.

Political Underpinnings and Regional Instability

The decision to close the Second Bridge appears to be rooted in Myanmar’s internal power dynamics. For years, border trade revenues in areas like Kayin State have been a critical source of funding for ethnic armed groups, including the BGF, which holds significant influence in Myawaddy. By shutting down the crossing, Naypyidaw aims to centralize control over these profits, a move that aligns with broader efforts to consolidate power amid ongoing civil conflict and political upheaval following the 2021 military coup.

This development is not occurring in isolation. Myanmar’s border regions have long been flashpoints of tension, with trade routes often caught in the crossfire of competing interests between the central government, ethnic militias, and neighboring countries like Thailand. The closure of the Second Bridge underscores the precarious balance of economic and political forces at play, with Thai exporters and border communities bearing the immediate brunt of these geopolitical maneuvers.

Broader Implications for Thai-Myanmar Relations

The border closure raises critical questions about the future of Thai-Myanmar economic relations, which have historically been a cornerstone of regional trade in Southeast Asia. Thailand serves as a key gateway for Myanmar’s goods to access broader international markets, while Myanmar provides Thailand with essential raw materials and a growing consumer base for manufactured products. Any prolonged disruption to this relationship could have ripple effects across the region, potentially impacting supply chains and economic stability in neighboring countries as well.

Analysts note that the situation also highlights the vulnerability of border economies to sudden policy shifts and political instability. While Thailand has sought to strengthen trade ties with Myanmar through initiatives like the Friendship Bridges, such efforts are often undermined by the unpredictable nature of governance in Naypyidaw and the complex web of local power structures in Myanmar’s border areas.

Looking Ahead: Uncertainty and Urgency

As the closure of the Second Thai-Myanmar Friendship Bridge enters its second week, the urgency to find a resolution grows. Thai authorities and business leaders are pressing for diplomatic engagement to reopen the crossing, but the lack of transparency from Myanmar’s government complicates these efforts. Meanwhile, exporters and merchants in Mae Sot face mounting losses, with no clear timeline for when normalcy might return.

The crisis serves as a stark reminder of the interconnectedness of economic and political stability in Southeast Asia. For now, the border remains a bottleneck, and the billions in trade at stake hang in the balance. As negotiations loom, the question remains whether dialogue can bridge not just the physical divide between Mae Sot and Myawaddy, but also the deeper divides of trust and governance that continue to challenge this critical partnership. 

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